All Things Used Cars ++
Economy
- Inflation pressure keeps the Federal Reserve at bay with rate drops possible later in the year
- Elevated energy costs continue to pressure markets with Iranian deal still in the balance
- Income growth over the past year has outpaced vehicle price increases
- Housing weakness continues to pressure household budgets and consumer confidence
- Mortgage rates are 2 bases points higher but lower than this time last year.
- Income growth over the past year has outpaced vehicle price increases
Dealer sentiment:
- Economy: 55% (up from 52% in Q1 2026 and 51% in Q2 2025)
- Market Conditions: 40% (up from 37% in Q1 2026; unchanged from 40% in Q2 2025)
- Political Climate: 36% (up from 31% in Q1 2026 and 33% in Q2 2025)
- Expenses: 33% (down slightly from 34% in Q1 2026; up from 32% in Q2 2025)
- Interest Rates: 32% (down from 34% in Q1 2026 and significantly down from 42% in Q2 2025)
Auto Market
- New vehicle affordability tightened as prices, rates, & lower incentives pushed payments higher
- Wholesale markets continue softening, especially in older vehicle segments
- Retail pricing has remained firmer preserving margins
- Compact cars & EVs: strongest YoY price growth.
- SUVs: softest segment — weaker YoY performance.
- 8+ year‑old units: strongest demand due to affordability pressures.
Retail demand is softening driven by:
- Higher monthly payments
- Post‑tax‑refund demand cooling
- Consumer selectivity increasing
- Aging inventory dragging turn
Sourcing Efficiency:
VINCUE Data: 2 core sources (new BI platform)
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- Auction is the #2 sales & #7 in front and total gross generated.
- Street Purchase is the #1 performing acquisition source
- Customer Trade ranks #2 among all acquisition sources.
- Service Drive is the #4 acquisition source in the ecosystem.
Dealer Takeaways
- Expect continued soft retail movement in early summer.
- Older units are driving the strongest demand and price stability.
- EV retail pricing is firming, not falling — a reversal from 2024–2025.
- Measuring source performance across inventory turn, sales volume, and gross profit is key for continuing to navigate the post COVID used vehicle supply shortage.

